Saturday, June 1, 2013

SITUATION ANALYSIS -- 66



Jerusalem, Israel

JUNE 2013 PRAYER UPDATE

Israel and the Middle East

(Psalm 18:29-50; Psalm 46; Psalm 60:12; Psalm 91, Matthew 24:6; Ephesians 6:10-19, Isaiah 51:5):

a)     Reportedly, the recent Israeli civil defense exercise simulated massive missile barrages launched against populated urban centers. This was a practice to see how the public would respond to the possibility of missiles hitting anywhere in Israel, day or night, coming from Lebanon, Syria, Iran, and Gaza.  A majority of the public did not take the drill that seriously.

b)     There’s a “leverage” game going on among the nations, which is part of the “brinkmanship” that is causing a high military alert in Israel.

c)     The U.S. and Russia are supposed to be conducting a peace conference in Geneva on the Syrian crisis sometime during the month of June. They want to bring together Syrian President Bashar Assad’s regime with the Syrian National Council to see if they can negotiate a deal to end the two-year bloody war in Syria, which is now estimated to have killed almost 100,000 people and displaced more than 1.5 million throughout the Middle East.

d)     Syrian President Bashar Assad’s forces are murdering Sunni rebels and masses of people near the Homs city of Qusayr. This is a city in western Syria located in the mountains near Lebanon. Obtaining control of this Alawite stronghold will give Assad the ability to continue his rule in part of Syria, while also allowing Iran to continue to supply him with weapons. These weapons could then flow to Hezbollah in Lebanon. Iran needs this corridor to be open in order to hold on to a Shiite arc of control in the Middle East. 

e)     Meanwhile, the Europeans cancelled an arms embargo, allowing countries such as Britain and France to begin supplying arms to the Sunni rebels. This has angered Russia who strongly supports the Syrian regime and opposes any western intervention in the Syrian crisis.

f)      Because of the possibility that the west could prop up Syrian rebels in the future, Russia is threatening to deliver advanced weapons systems to Assad so that he will have a much greater edge, militarily, over opposition forces. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has met with Russian President Vladimir Putin, hoping to discourage him from delivering the S-300 advanced weapon system to Assad. Netanyahu has claimed it would tip the balance of power in the Middle East. Reportedly, these weapons would create a no-fly zone in Syria and Lebanon, not allowing Israel to conduct sorties over these nations in order to defend the homeland. The system has a 200 km range and could hit Israeli fighter planes in the north. Israeli officials have declared that if these weapons are delivered by Russia to Syria, Israel’s air force will knock them out in a pre-emptive strike. Israel would make sure that the weapons could not be used by Assad or transferred to Hezbollah. 

g)     The United States has been weak in its foreign policy concerning Syria. (See the previous blog post re: this subject). It appears that if the peace conference fails, the U.S. might begin to supply the Sunni rebels with weapons, following the lead of France and Britain. Assad has threatened to go to war with Israel because of this.

You can see how complicated this matter is, and how there appears to be no solution. From the Israeli point of view, if the Shiites are allowed to maintain control of this part of the Middle East, through the on-going instability in Syria, this would be the greater threat to Israel than the Sunni rebels taking over parts of Syria. It seems that the peace conference, if it happens, will be a determining factor in how things will look in Syria in the future. Please direct your prayers to the scriptures (above) and stand with us for God’s protection over the people of Israel at this time.


SITUATION ANALYSIS -- 235

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