Jerusalem, Israel
TERROR IN MUMBAI
The recent Al Qaeda style terrorist attack on Mumbai, India was a coordinated event by a para-military terrorist group with Pakistani origins. The well-prepared terrorists broke all rules of civility in shooting randomly at any target, including innocent bystanders at a rail station, a restaurant, and two hospitals.
The terrorists finally settled on murdering foreign tourists at two high-class hotels and a Chabad Jewish Center in Mumbai, where they sought to kill Americans, Brits, and Israelis. In the end they managed to massacre almost 200 foreigners and nationals standing in the way of their destructive path.
Worse yet was that this large-scale terror operation caught international intelligence agents off-guard in an era of globalization where counter-terrorism information sharing has reached unprecedented levels across borders.
So, how could this highly coordinated massive terrorist attack occur under the nose of these expert security personnel? While officials will look to answer this question and others in the coming days, we can expect even more transparency between global intelligence agencies in the future.
Israel and India already have close defense ties and Israel trains India military units. In the Mumbai incident, Israel claimed that Indian counter-terrorist forces, while well-trained, engaged the terrorists too soon. The Indian commando units should have secured the main area where hostages were taken, and gained control on the ground, before exchanging fire with the terrorists.
In the future, Israel’s Defense Forces (IDF) will be sending expert Israeli commandos to help Indian forces become more skilled in urban warfare and counter-terrorism.
PRAYER POINTS:
No matter how states prepare for such terrorist attacks, there is still an enemy that looms larger; one that will try and create havoc, death, and destruction whenever and wherever he chooses.
• This shaking of nations will increase as darkness increases on the earth, until only eternal things will be left. (Hebrews 12:27). Since we are receiving a Kingdom that cannot be destroyed, let us be thankful and please God by worshipping Him with holy fear and awe. For our God is a consuming fire. (Hebrews 12:28-29).
• From east to west – praise the name of the Lord. For the Lord is high above the nations; His glory is far greater than the heavens. (Psalm 113:3. See also verses 5-8).
• Pray for the families that have lost loved ones; that they would be comforted by the Lord.
• Pray for those still in the hospital in critical condition, wounded from the attacks. Pray that they would be healed, and that great testimonies of miracles would flow out of Mumbai.
• Pray for greater diligence on the part of God’s people, to stay close to the Lord in these critical days; being vigilant in the faith; listening continually for His will and direction; protected by the full armor of God in Ephesians Chapter 6; with prayers for family and friends that extend towards Israel and the Jewish people.
DECEPTION & POLITICAL GAMES
Despite the evidence from Israel and the U.S. that Syria may be harboring a clandestine military nuclear program, with the help of North Korea; those facts are now being suppressed by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
The IAEA has already admitted to finding traces of processed uranium at the site where Israel allegedly bombed a nuclear reactor on September 6, 2007. The U.S. has declared that the nuclear reactor, almost completed, could have produced plutonium, but Syria denies running such a secret nuclear program.
Meanwhile, the IAEA, still angered by being out-of-the-loop when Israeli intelligence discovered the site in coordination with the U.S., now claims that evidence about that site has been hard to find. IAEA Director General Mohamed ElBaradei claims this limits the IAEA from further proving Syrian nuclear activities. He said that investigations have been hampered because his agency found only limited satellite images available. Syria has also been uncooperative with the IAEA denying inspectors access to any of the sites they have requested to observe.
At the same time, the IAEA, along with the tacit agreement of the U.S. and other nations, approved a deal which will provide IAEA expertise and equipment to Syria to build a power-producing nuclear reactor. In other words, the IAEA will now be sharing sensitive nuclear information with Syria that could help Syria build a supposedly safe civilian powered reactor!
Why are the nations, and the IAEA, cooperating with Syria when they believe there is evidence that Syria is hiding a military nuclear program?
The answer is that there has been a change in global diplomacy. Those nations that have been formerly labeled rogue states, but where there might be a slight chance that they could be reformed and become part of a western coalition of moderate Arab states, are now being pursued by certain world leaders. European officials, as well as Israel, have felt it would be better to bring Syria out of isolation in the hope that Syria might be pulled out of the axis of evil that includes Iran.
If Syrian leader Bashar Assad is willing to kick terrorist groups out of Syria, decrease its strategic cooperation with Iran, and limit its military and political control over Lebanon, then global leaders are prepared to give Syria an opportunity to join the international community, including financial and diplomatic advantages that other regional Middle East states enjoy.
The problem is that international leaders are listening to words and not seeing deeds that show any kind of softening on Syria’s part that would indicate a willingness to stop supporting terrorist groups and terrorist states. If anything, Syria is advancing as a rogue state, adding new sophisticated weapons to its military arsenal, provided by Russia. Syria is becoming more capable of fighting a future war against Israel, especially if peace talks fail and Israel will not give up the Golan Heights.
Lebanon is overrun by Syrian intelligence operatives that influence decisions in the Lebanese government and prop up Hezbollah's para-military army within the state. At the same time, Lebanon has recently increased diplomatic cooperation with Syria. Lebanese leaders have also signed a five-year security pact with Iran. Defense cooperation between Iran and Syria has now been extended to Lebanon, which Syria still considers part of Greater Syria.
Meanwhile, Hezbollah has tripled its force since the Lebanon War of 2006, with 42,000 rockets on-hand that supposedly can reach Israel’s nuclear facilities in Dimona.
While this strategic military cooperation is going on between Iran, Syria, and Lebanon, including the training and arming of terrorist groups within the region, European officials, especially France and England are preparing the ground for greater diplomatic cooperation with Syria in the future. This move is expected to encourage American President-Elect Barack Obama to engage in the diplomatic exchange so that the U.S. can keep its leadership role in the Middle East.
Recently, British Foreign Secretary David Milband visited Syrian President Bashar Assad, encouraging a comprehensive Middle East peace deal, which would include Syria. The UK has worked on building a partnership with Syria during the past 18 months, working for comprehensive peace, security and stability in the region. Miliband denied that Syria was building a nuclear reactor for military purposes.
PRAYER POINTS:
• Pray that the nations would not fall into deception regarding Syria’s role as a rogue state and part of an axis of evil in the Middle East. There is no indication that Syria’s President Bashar Assad has any intention of pulling away from Iran, nor of its proxy, Hezbollah in Lebanon. If anything, Syria is building closer ties with Iran, Lebanon, and Russia (who supplies Syria with arms and training), as well as terrorist groups in the region.
• It appears that to-date Syria is not going through a change in strategic defense thinking. Pray that every evil plan within the Syria, Lebanese, Iranian, and Russian government would be exposed, reported fully, and seen clearly by the international community. (See Psalms Chapters 35 and 37).
• Pray that the plans of men will be brought to the light according to Luke 12:2-3, which states, “For there is nothing covered that will not be revealed, nor hidden that will not be known. Therefore, whatever you have spoken in the dark will be heard in the light, and what you have spoken in the ear in inner rooms will be proclaimed on the housetops.”
• Pray that the Lord will judge the wicked deeds of evil powers in the Middle East. Cry out for righteousness to guard this region; for all wickedness to cease, especially in the halls of power in governments. Proclaim that the Lord will put down His enemies according to Hebrews 10:13.
• Declare Psalm 108:5, “Be exalted O God, above the highest heavens. May Your glory shine over all the earth.” Through God, Israel shall do valiantly, for it is He who shall tread down her enemies. (See verse 13).
PALESTNIAN CONTROL OVER KEY WEST BANK CITIES
October 23, 1998, former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former PLO Chairman Yasser Arafat signed the Wye River Memorandum, a political accord that gave the Palestinians full control over seven West Bank cities. It also gave the Palestinians shared control with Israel over other cities in the territories, such as Hebron.
Since the beginning of 2008, current Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak has encouraged the deployment of newly trained Palestinian troops into Jenin, Nablus, Hebron, and in December, Bethlehem. (They are already deployed in Ramallah and Jericho years ago during the implementation of the Oslo Accords). Hundreds of Palestinian troops, currently training in Jordan, are expected to be deployed in other cities in 2009 such as Tulkarm and Kalkilya. These cities are included in the Wye River agreement.
Implementing the new deployment plan has been under the direction of Palestinian Prime Minister Salaam Fayad, who has expanded Palestinian troops into these cities with the knowledge and cooperation of international leaders in the Quartet (UN, EU, U.S. and Russia).
This plan, plus the recent release of another 250 Palestinian prisoners from Israeli jails, is all an effort at boosting the popularity of current Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, who wants to keep his presidential powers beyond the January 2009 deadline. That is when his presidential rule will be challenged by Hamas. Israel is concerned that Hamas might try to take over the West Bank in early 2009, adding to its successful take-over of the Gaza Strip in 2007.
Israeli officials also believe that this plan will ensure that if and when a Palestinian state is established, the new Palestinian government will have a functioning and effective security force in place.
But, it’s clear that these same officials do not know if the newly deployed Palestinian troops can effectively stop a Hamas takeover, let alone protect Israel. And, if Hamas cannot be stopped, what will happen to this Palestinian force that has been trained to police these cities?
Moreover, if feuding Hamas and Fatah groups end up reconciling with one another, will this not unite the West Bank and Gaza, and won’t these troops become part of one large Palestinian army that fights against Israel in the future?
It’s inconceivable that Israel would trust Fatah, a terrorist group that has now become an official Palestinian army. Even though currently Fatah is helping Israel to crackdown on Hamas, both Hamas and Fatah are Palestinian “brothers”, and the perception that Fatah would continue its loyalties towards Israel in a more permanent way is idealistic thinking. Eventually, the Palestinians will unite and their common enemy will be the state of Israel, not each other.
PRAYER POINTS:
• Israel is under the delusion that a two-state solution is possible. God intends that there be one nation in the land that includes the mountains of Israel, and that it not be a divided land. (See Ezekiel 37:22). Pray for Israel to see and embrace this reality despite world pressures.
• Pray according to Ezekiel 37:26-28, which describes the true covenant of peace that the Lord wants to have with Israel; not like the covenant of peace they are trying to establish now, in the natural, with the Palestinians and Arab states.
• Pray that the mountain of radical Islamic terror be removed from Judea and Samaria (the West Bank) and from the hearts of Palestinians living on the high places in Israel. (See Mark 11:23-24).
• Take heed, watch and pray; for you do not know when the time is that God’s judgments will come upon the earth (Mark 13:33).
WATCH!
A News Prayer Network, providing prayer points on current issues in the news, from Jerusalem to the rest of the world
Monday, December 1, 2008
Monday, November 17, 2008
SITUATION ANALSYIS -- VI
Jerusalem, Israel
Barack Obama’s surge to power has left some conservative Jews worried about how he will tackle complex Middle East issues that affect Israel’s security. An Exit Poll taken in Israel, of absentee American-Israeli voters, found that a majority of them voted for John McCain because they thought he would do a better job at handling U.S.-Israel relations.
But, an overwhelming majority of American Jews living in the U.S. voted to put Obama in office. Most of them voted for what they perceive will be Obama’s U.S. domestic policies rather than what they hope will be his foreign policy initiatives concerning Israel. Yet, these same American Jews are also watching for signs that Obama’s pro-Israel promises will ring true.
Israeli-American Rahm Emanuel has been positioned in the future Obama Administration as his Chief of Staff. This has been a relief to some American Jews, but others feel the appointment has more to do with pushing Obama’s legislative agenda through the Democratic majority in Congress.
During this transitional period in the U.S., Obama’s priorities will be to solidify who his staff, cabinet, and political advisors will be when he takes the office of the American presidency in late January 2009. He will be looking at solutions to deal with the burgeoning U.S. financial crisis that has affected global financial markets. Following that, it’s expected that he will turn his focus towards finding a suitable withdrawal timetable for U.S. troops to pull out of Iraq, while aiming to fortify troops in Afghanistan. Next in line will be his controversial attempt to dialogue with Iranian leaders, something Israel opposes. The results of that diplomatic exchange will signal to Israel and the international community as to whether Iran’s ambitious nuclear program can be halted by diplomacy and sanctions, or whether military action will be necessary.
Not only will President Obama be dealing with Iran’s insistence to continue its nuclear program; but he will also have to decide what to do about North Korea’s current obstinacy regarding its nuclear program. Furthermore, Syria’s denial of a nascent nuclear program has International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) weapons inspectors insisting on further investigation. They say traces of uranium have been found at the site bombed by Israeli forces on September 6, 2007.
Meanwhile, it is too early to tell whether Barack Obama will surface as a global leader decisive in actions, especially in being able to keep Russia contained regarding its political and military ambitions. Russia’s leaders would like the nation to rise to superpower status once again. Currently, Russia’s parliament is trying to amend laws which would open the door for Vladimir Putin to re-emerge as president of the Russian people. In doing so, his intention to get a foothold in the Middle East, by strengthening his ties with Iran and Syria and their terrorist proxies will continue. Through massive arms sales, military bases and training offered in strategic cooperation agreements with rogue states in the region, Russia will be flexing its Middle East muscle, challenging Israel’s ability to have a qualitative edge, military, over its Arab neighbors.
Israelis hope that whoever becomes Prime Minister in the February 2009 general elections in the Jewish State will have common ground on the diplomatic front with Obama and his political team. It’s a wait and see attitude in Israel right now.
PRAYER POINTS:
(1) Pray that Obama will listen and clearly understand the security needs that Israel has.
(2) Pray that Israel will not be pressured by international leaders to compromise in regard to a two-state solution; especially if that solution leaves the Jewish State lacking defensible borders.
(3) Pray that American and global leaders will have discernment in understanding the real intentions behind the Arab Peace Initiative.
This Initiative would be part of a regional comprehensive peace deal between Israel and Arab states. But, it backs Israel into a corner. The plan requires that Israel withdraw to pre-1967 borders, relinquish the Golan Heights and divide Jerusalem. It also threatens a sustainable Jewish majority in Israel by demanding that tens of thousands of so-called Palestinian refugees be allowed to return to live in Israel.
Pray that the new U.S. administration understands the dangers in this Initiative that undermine Israel’s survival. Right now, Obama’s advisors are encouraging him to embrace the Initiative.
(4) Pray that a new Israeli government, led by a new Israeli Prime Minister, will have much wisdom, and be stable, strong and united in order to deal with the Iranian threat before the Islamic State has nuclear capability.
(5) Pray for Israel’s general elections in February 2009, and for the government coalition that will be formed at that time, according to 1 Timothy 2:1-2.
The three main candidates for the office of Prime Minister have stated their party platforms in general terms. However, in the past, an Israeli Prime Minister under pressure from the U.S. and the international community, has been known to concede on core issues, against the wishes of a majority of Israeli citizens.
Pray that this kind of compromise is avoided at all costs.
(6) Declare that He who keepeth Israel shall neither slumber nor sleep, according to Psalm 121:4. Remind the Lord that you will give Him no rest until He makes Jerusalem a praise in the earth (Isaiah 62:6-7).
(7) God watches over His Holy Land and Holy City of Zion. Whoever touches Israel touches the apple of God’s eye. Proclaim Zechariah 2:8, and pray that the nations come into alignment with God’s plans for Israel, especially for Jerusalem.
(8) As the mountains surround Jerusalem, so the Lord surrounds His people, now and forevermore. Declare Psalm 125:2, and pray for God to keep watch over His Holy City for it to remain united.
(9) Pray for the protection and well-being of Israeli citizens who are currently under rocket attack in Sderot, Ashkelon, and in the Negev. Pray that though a thousand may fall at their side, and ten thousand at their right hand, the rockets shall not come near them. (Psalm 91:7).
(10) Read Psalm Chapter 2. May it be a stern warning to the new U.S. Administration and to the global community -- that God will judge how they treat His Son and His covenant land of promise.
Barack Obama’s surge to power has left some conservative Jews worried about how he will tackle complex Middle East issues that affect Israel’s security. An Exit Poll taken in Israel, of absentee American-Israeli voters, found that a majority of them voted for John McCain because they thought he would do a better job at handling U.S.-Israel relations.
But, an overwhelming majority of American Jews living in the U.S. voted to put Obama in office. Most of them voted for what they perceive will be Obama’s U.S. domestic policies rather than what they hope will be his foreign policy initiatives concerning Israel. Yet, these same American Jews are also watching for signs that Obama’s pro-Israel promises will ring true.
Israeli-American Rahm Emanuel has been positioned in the future Obama Administration as his Chief of Staff. This has been a relief to some American Jews, but others feel the appointment has more to do with pushing Obama’s legislative agenda through the Democratic majority in Congress.
During this transitional period in the U.S., Obama’s priorities will be to solidify who his staff, cabinet, and political advisors will be when he takes the office of the American presidency in late January 2009. He will be looking at solutions to deal with the burgeoning U.S. financial crisis that has affected global financial markets. Following that, it’s expected that he will turn his focus towards finding a suitable withdrawal timetable for U.S. troops to pull out of Iraq, while aiming to fortify troops in Afghanistan. Next in line will be his controversial attempt to dialogue with Iranian leaders, something Israel opposes. The results of that diplomatic exchange will signal to Israel and the international community as to whether Iran’s ambitious nuclear program can be halted by diplomacy and sanctions, or whether military action will be necessary.
Not only will President Obama be dealing with Iran’s insistence to continue its nuclear program; but he will also have to decide what to do about North Korea’s current obstinacy regarding its nuclear program. Furthermore, Syria’s denial of a nascent nuclear program has International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) weapons inspectors insisting on further investigation. They say traces of uranium have been found at the site bombed by Israeli forces on September 6, 2007.
Meanwhile, it is too early to tell whether Barack Obama will surface as a global leader decisive in actions, especially in being able to keep Russia contained regarding its political and military ambitions. Russia’s leaders would like the nation to rise to superpower status once again. Currently, Russia’s parliament is trying to amend laws which would open the door for Vladimir Putin to re-emerge as president of the Russian people. In doing so, his intention to get a foothold in the Middle East, by strengthening his ties with Iran and Syria and their terrorist proxies will continue. Through massive arms sales, military bases and training offered in strategic cooperation agreements with rogue states in the region, Russia will be flexing its Middle East muscle, challenging Israel’s ability to have a qualitative edge, military, over its Arab neighbors.
Israelis hope that whoever becomes Prime Minister in the February 2009 general elections in the Jewish State will have common ground on the diplomatic front with Obama and his political team. It’s a wait and see attitude in Israel right now.
PRAYER POINTS:
(1) Pray that Obama will listen and clearly understand the security needs that Israel has.
(2) Pray that Israel will not be pressured by international leaders to compromise in regard to a two-state solution; especially if that solution leaves the Jewish State lacking defensible borders.
(3) Pray that American and global leaders will have discernment in understanding the real intentions behind the Arab Peace Initiative.
This Initiative would be part of a regional comprehensive peace deal between Israel and Arab states. But, it backs Israel into a corner. The plan requires that Israel withdraw to pre-1967 borders, relinquish the Golan Heights and divide Jerusalem. It also threatens a sustainable Jewish majority in Israel by demanding that tens of thousands of so-called Palestinian refugees be allowed to return to live in Israel.
Pray that the new U.S. administration understands the dangers in this Initiative that undermine Israel’s survival. Right now, Obama’s advisors are encouraging him to embrace the Initiative.
(4) Pray that a new Israeli government, led by a new Israeli Prime Minister, will have much wisdom, and be stable, strong and united in order to deal with the Iranian threat before the Islamic State has nuclear capability.
(5) Pray for Israel’s general elections in February 2009, and for the government coalition that will be formed at that time, according to 1 Timothy 2:1-2.
The three main candidates for the office of Prime Minister have stated their party platforms in general terms. However, in the past, an Israeli Prime Minister under pressure from the U.S. and the international community, has been known to concede on core issues, against the wishes of a majority of Israeli citizens.
Pray that this kind of compromise is avoided at all costs.
(6) Declare that He who keepeth Israel shall neither slumber nor sleep, according to Psalm 121:4. Remind the Lord that you will give Him no rest until He makes Jerusalem a praise in the earth (Isaiah 62:6-7).
(7) God watches over His Holy Land and Holy City of Zion. Whoever touches Israel touches the apple of God’s eye. Proclaim Zechariah 2:8, and pray that the nations come into alignment with God’s plans for Israel, especially for Jerusalem.
(8) As the mountains surround Jerusalem, so the Lord surrounds His people, now and forevermore. Declare Psalm 125:2, and pray for God to keep watch over His Holy City for it to remain united.
(9) Pray for the protection and well-being of Israeli citizens who are currently under rocket attack in Sderot, Ashkelon, and in the Negev. Pray that though a thousand may fall at their side, and ten thousand at their right hand, the rockets shall not come near them. (Psalm 91:7).
(10) Read Psalm Chapter 2. May it be a stern warning to the new U.S. Administration and to the global community -- that God will judge how they treat His Son and His covenant land of promise.
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
SITUATION ANALYSIS -- V
Jerusalem, Israel
TRANSITIONAL TIMES IN ISRAEL
Global change and turbulence, in political and economic spheres, have been dominating media headlines, taking the focus off Israel's political situation which has remained critical since the summer of 2008. At that time Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's political career was shaken by accusations of corruption, forcing him to step down as head of the Kadima party, making way for a new Prime Minister to emerge in Israel.
Tzippi Livni was elected to lead the Kadima party, form a new government, and become the second female Prime Minister in Israel's history. But, she proved unsuccessful in pulling together a wide coalition of partners from Israel's various political parties. Now, Israelis are looking towards new elections in February 2009.
The current lack of strong leadership at the helm of the Israeli government is a sign of weakness that is allowing Israel's enemies to consolidate and formulate new strategies of aggression.
The vacuum in Israel, politically, has already caused Fatah and Hamas to look for greater common ground. Hoping to reconcile and become united, with the help of Egyptian mediators, these two groups could be looking at the possibility of forming a national unity government in 2009. (A reconciliation conference is expected to take place in Egypt in November 2008). This would undermine Israel's efforts to keep Hamas isolated within the global community.
Some analysts say the current effort to unite the two groups is to the benefit of Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas who is looking for a way to curry favor with all Palestinians and stay in power after his presidency expires in January 2009.
POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY AND TERROR
During this current period, when U.S. leadership is also in transition and there is less American mediation efforts on the Middle East track, Hamas also has little incentive to try and negotiate a prisoner swap with Israel. Such a swap would result in the release of Israel's P.O.W. Gilad Shalit who has been in captivity for more than two years.
Currently, Hamas and Israel share a temporary cease fire, but it is only in effect until December 2008.
Israel's present political vacuum could embolden Hamas and other terror groups to look to the first six months of 2009 as a time for stepped up attacks on Israel, especially in the West Bank and Jerusalem. (Since this summer, there have been eight terror attacks in the Jerusalem area). Furthermore, Hamas could try and renew rocket fire from Gaza into Israeli towns in the Negev.
The peace and quiet that Gazans have experienced during the current cease fire between Hamas and Israel has given a boost to Hamas. The group's efforts to supply the Gazan population with needed resources of food, shelter, and health services have solidified their political and military control over the area.
HEBRON
Meanwhile, the recent deployment of hundreds of Palestinian policemen into Hebron was approved by Labor party head and current Defense Minister Ehud Barak. This is Barak's way of boosting Mahmoud Abbas' popularity in the West Bank. (Some in Israel think that by helping Abbas stay in power, they are keeping at bay more extreme Palestinian elements that would like to seize the presidency).
However, the small Hebron enclave of settlers, outnumbered and constantly threatened by a much larger Palestinian population, claim that the recent deployment is a recipe for disaster. While the extra numbers of Palestinian police are supposedly cracking down on Hamas and also on crime in the city, the settlers say that they, themselves, are now in greater danger.
HOT SPOT
Look to Hebron becoming a hot spot in 2009, ignited by less of an IDF presence in the area (therefore, less protection for the settlers living there), and greater efforts by the PA police to take control over this ancient historical and biblical city.
These changes in Hebron could upset the delicate balance between Jews and Palestinians living there.
Hebron is considered the largest city in the West Bank, located 30 kilometers outside of Jerusalem. The Jews of Hebron protect the Cave of the Patriarchs where Abraham, Sarah, Isaac, Rebecca, Jacob and Leah are buried.
King David, in the Bible, ruled over Hebron. (2 Samuel 2:11), and Jewish claims to the city are strong.
PRAYER POINTS:
Pray for the protection of the Jewish state during this vulnerable time when the government is in a transitional period and there is no strong leader at the helm.
Pray that God will keep Israel's enemies from being able to penetrate borders, cities, and towns during this political vacuum in the land.
Pray for special protection for the settlers of Hebron.
Pray that Godly leaders will emerge who have courage, strength, vision, and high moral standards; leaders who will govern with integrity.
Pray that righteousness and justice will prevail in the land.
Declare 2 Chronicles 7:14 over Israel today!
"SO SHALL THEY FEAR THE NAME OF THE LORD FROM THE WEST, AND HIS GLORY FROM THE RISING OF THE SUN; WHEN THE ENEMY COMES IN LIKE A FLOOD, THE SPIRIT OF THE LORD WILL LIFT UP A STANDARD AGAINST HIM." Isaiah 59:19
TRANSITIONAL TIMES IN ISRAEL
Global change and turbulence, in political and economic spheres, have been dominating media headlines, taking the focus off Israel's political situation which has remained critical since the summer of 2008. At that time Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's political career was shaken by accusations of corruption, forcing him to step down as head of the Kadima party, making way for a new Prime Minister to emerge in Israel.
Tzippi Livni was elected to lead the Kadima party, form a new government, and become the second female Prime Minister in Israel's history. But, she proved unsuccessful in pulling together a wide coalition of partners from Israel's various political parties. Now, Israelis are looking towards new elections in February 2009.
The current lack of strong leadership at the helm of the Israeli government is a sign of weakness that is allowing Israel's enemies to consolidate and formulate new strategies of aggression.
The vacuum in Israel, politically, has already caused Fatah and Hamas to look for greater common ground. Hoping to reconcile and become united, with the help of Egyptian mediators, these two groups could be looking at the possibility of forming a national unity government in 2009. (A reconciliation conference is expected to take place in Egypt in November 2008). This would undermine Israel's efforts to keep Hamas isolated within the global community.
Some analysts say the current effort to unite the two groups is to the benefit of Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas who is looking for a way to curry favor with all Palestinians and stay in power after his presidency expires in January 2009.
POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY AND TERROR
During this current period, when U.S. leadership is also in transition and there is less American mediation efforts on the Middle East track, Hamas also has little incentive to try and negotiate a prisoner swap with Israel. Such a swap would result in the release of Israel's P.O.W. Gilad Shalit who has been in captivity for more than two years.
Currently, Hamas and Israel share a temporary cease fire, but it is only in effect until December 2008.
Israel's present political vacuum could embolden Hamas and other terror groups to look to the first six months of 2009 as a time for stepped up attacks on Israel, especially in the West Bank and Jerusalem. (Since this summer, there have been eight terror attacks in the Jerusalem area). Furthermore, Hamas could try and renew rocket fire from Gaza into Israeli towns in the Negev.
The peace and quiet that Gazans have experienced during the current cease fire between Hamas and Israel has given a boost to Hamas. The group's efforts to supply the Gazan population with needed resources of food, shelter, and health services have solidified their political and military control over the area.
HEBRON
Meanwhile, the recent deployment of hundreds of Palestinian policemen into Hebron was approved by Labor party head and current Defense Minister Ehud Barak. This is Barak's way of boosting Mahmoud Abbas' popularity in the West Bank. (Some in Israel think that by helping Abbas stay in power, they are keeping at bay more extreme Palestinian elements that would like to seize the presidency).
However, the small Hebron enclave of settlers, outnumbered and constantly threatened by a much larger Palestinian population, claim that the recent deployment is a recipe for disaster. While the extra numbers of Palestinian police are supposedly cracking down on Hamas and also on crime in the city, the settlers say that they, themselves, are now in greater danger.
HOT SPOT
Look to Hebron becoming a hot spot in 2009, ignited by less of an IDF presence in the area (therefore, less protection for the settlers living there), and greater efforts by the PA police to take control over this ancient historical and biblical city.
These changes in Hebron could upset the delicate balance between Jews and Palestinians living there.
Hebron is considered the largest city in the West Bank, located 30 kilometers outside of Jerusalem. The Jews of Hebron protect the Cave of the Patriarchs where Abraham, Sarah, Isaac, Rebecca, Jacob and Leah are buried.
King David, in the Bible, ruled over Hebron. (2 Samuel 2:11), and Jewish claims to the city are strong.
PRAYER POINTS:
Pray for the protection of the Jewish state during this vulnerable time when the government is in a transitional period and there is no strong leader at the helm.
Pray that God will keep Israel's enemies from being able to penetrate borders, cities, and towns during this political vacuum in the land.
Pray for special protection for the settlers of Hebron.
Pray that Godly leaders will emerge who have courage, strength, vision, and high moral standards; leaders who will govern with integrity.
Pray that righteousness and justice will prevail in the land.
Declare 2 Chronicles 7:14 over Israel today!
"SO SHALL THEY FEAR THE NAME OF THE LORD FROM THE WEST, AND HIS GLORY FROM THE RISING OF THE SUN; WHEN THE ENEMY COMES IN LIKE A FLOOD, THE SPIRIT OF THE LORD WILL LIFT UP A STANDARD AGAINST HIM." Isaiah 59:19
Sunday, August 31, 2008
SITUATION ANALYSIS -- IV
Jerusalem, Israel
Ethiopia: It is unknown whether Israeli government officials will abide by their promise to allow almost 9,000 Ethiopian Jews stuck in transit camps to immigrate to Israel. The last of the Falasha Mura's have been obstructed from immigrating by Israeli authorities.
(See Isaiah 43:6 in the Bible's Revised Standard Edition).
(Declare that Israel should not hold these Jews back from returning to the Promised Land!)
Hot Spots
*Lebanon: At least 2,500 Hezbollah guerillas are operating in southern Lebanon, in defiance of UN Resolution 1701. Hezbollah has tripled its military arsenal since the Lebanon War of 2006. It has reportedly obtained 30-40,000 missiles capable of covering 75% of Israel. It is also busy recruiting and training new fighters, as well as expanding its Command Center. Some Israeli defense officials think that Hezbollah currently poses a greater threat to Israel than Iran. One of the reasons is because Israel does not have an anti-missile defense system in place to deter short-range rockets from hitting the Jewish State.
(Proclaim Psalm 91:5-6).
Meanwhile, Hezbollah leader Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah still plans to avenge the death of arch-terrorist Imad Muginyeh, and has tried, so far unsuccessfully
to kidnap Israelis traveling abroad.
(Proclaim Psalm 91:9-13 for Jewish people in Israel and the nations who are vulnerable to an attack from Hezbollah. Pray for God's protection and safety over His chosen people).
*Iran: Ehud Barak, Israel's Defense Minister, has said that if Russia delivers its most advanced anti-aircraft missile system to Iran, Israel will neutralize the effectiveness of that system by using a specialized electronic warfare device. This would, in effect embarrass Russian officials and be a blow to Russia's national security. Barak thinks that a nuclear Iran poses a danger to world order. He also stated, recently, that if attacked, Israel is prepared to respond and to succeed uncompromisingly.
(Continue to stand in the gap in intercession -- that God will not allow the enemy to bring the Ezekiel Chapter 38 and 39 war before its appointed time).
*Syria: An illusion of peace based on a progression in talks between Israel and Syria continue to occupy the global news media. At the same time that Israel has agreed to withdraw from the Golan Heights through in-direct negotiations, Syria has not agreed to separate itself from terrorist groups, including Hezbollah and Hamas. Nor, has Syria agreed to back down from its close strategic relationship with Iran.
Since Syria has entered into the peace equation with Israel, Syria's President Bashar Assad has enjoyed unprecedented favor with the international community, especially Turkey, France and Qatar. At the same time, Syria has upgraded relations with the Lebanese government.
A new confrontation with Israel is possible if Syria and Iran continue to deliver advanced weapons systems to Hezbollah that pose a major threat to Israel's security. Syria continues to use diplomacy as a pressure on Israel, while preparing for brutal military tactics on Israel's northern border.
Assad has not stopped trying to acquire advanced missile systems, including requests in his recent meeting with Russian officials. He has asked for the delivery of long-range Russian anti-aircraft missiles to Syria. He has also offered to deploy short-range Russian missiles on Syrian territory.
*Russia: Russia has shown its own aggressive tactics in its recent invasion of the country of Georgia. Threatened by US military advances in Europe, (in terms of missile defense), Russia has also deeply disapproved of countries near its borders aligning with NATO forces.
Russia has threatened to attack a U.S. anti-missile defense system if it is deployed in Poland. Russia has also made some serious threats against U.S. measures to deploy a radar tracking system in the Czech Republic, as well.
Some analysts see the Iranian-Syrian-Russian axis (including terrorist proxy Hezbollah in Lebanon) as a rising global power that must be dealt with by the international community. However, many countries, especially those in Europe, would rather do business with these rogue nations and appease them,ignoring both subtle and blatant acts of aggression. Meanwhile, Russia continues to play an active role in the Gulf region, activating Soviet military alliances despite calls for Russia to be excluded from the G8 and expelled from the UN Security Council. Russia is counting on disunity among member states, taking advantage of a weakened Western economy hit by increasing oil prices, and by a dependence on foreign oil supplies.
(Proclaim Psalm 46:6-7: "The nations raged, the kingdoms were moved; He uttered His voice, the earth melted. The Lord of Hosts is with us; the God of Jacob is our refuge").
International Diplomacy
U.S. diplomacy in the Middle East has taken a step backwards while U.S. citizens concentrate on domestic policies at home. This transition is a result of a political focus on the upcoming American presidential elections. This vacuum has allowed France and Russia to get a foothold in the Middle East, with leaders of those nations pressing their own agendas, which are not necessarily good for Israel.
(Pray Psalm Chapter 37 on behalf of Israel, especially verse 6. Pray that Israeli diplomats and politicians will walk in God's wisdom regarding every foreign policy initiative presented by the international community, especially during this vulnerable time in diplomacy).
U.S.-Israel Strategic Military Cooperation
The special relationship between Israeli and American defense officials is enhanced by increased cooperation in missile-defense technology. The possibility of war with Iran has caused both nations to deploy more advanced weapons systems that provide greater coordination between air force and army officers. Israel and the U.S. are performing military exercises (simulations and drills) to prepare for deployment of these systems. The U.S. is likely to deploy missile defense systems on ships off Israel's coast to assist in intercepting in-coming ballistic missiles from Iran if war breaks out.
(Pray for U.S. Major General Ido Zehushtan who would be the central commander in charge of missile defense systems in the Middle East region in the event of war). (See Jerusalem Post Frontlines article, titled, "In Advance", Friday, August 8, 08).
(Pray for Israel's ability to protect the Jewish nation in the event of a missile war. One of the ways Israel does this is by flying over enemy territory to deter acts of war and terror).
Vulnerable Skies
Apparently, Hezbollah can now track Israeli Air Force planes from the Mediterranean Sea in the west, to Damascus in the east, because of advanced radar installations located in Lebanon's Bekaa Valley. Hezbollah reportedly received help from Syrian and Iranian operatives in installing these systems.
Hamas, in Gaza, is thought to have a number of shoulder-to-shoulder air missiles, as well as heavy anti-aircraft machine guns. Therefore, Israel's air force is not flying as much over Gaza as it has in the past.
These sophisticated systems, deployed by Israel's enemies in Lebanon and Gaza make it more difficult for Israeli air force flyovers. This also means the possibility of Israeli aircraft being shot down in the event of war.
(Pray for these vulnerabilities in Israeli air defenses as the Jewish nation tries to increase its deterrence capability against evil aggression. Israel's enemies are vigorous and strong, and their capabilities have multiplied, but God is a constant defender of His chosen people – the "apple of His eye"). (See Psalm 38:21-22; Psalm 71:12-13; Deuteronomy 32:10).
(Pray for Israelis as they prepare for war, according to Psalm 144:1-2. God will not allow Israel to be destroyed). (See Jeremiah 31:35-37).
Prisoner Release
Recently, in defiance of Israel's own "red lines", Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's government released almost 200 Palestinian prisoners, including several with "blood on their hands". Some of these terrorists had committed murder against Israeli civilians and were serving time in jail until their recent release. The diplomatic pressure on Israel to please the international community by bolstering political support for Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas has not necessarily advanced the peace process. It has also not cleared the way for a release of Israeli P.O.W. Gilad Shalit.
(Pray that the Israeli government will not enter into any more snares because of a lack of counsel and sound judgment. Declare Proverbs 29:25-26. Pray for Corporal Shalit who is suffering health issues in captivity. Pray that he will be healed supernaturally by God as he waits for deliverance from his captives, and freedom to return to his family in Israel).
(Declare Psalm 121:1-8 for all of Israel during this vulnerable time in Israel's sixty year history)!
Ethiopia: It is unknown whether Israeli government officials will abide by their promise to allow almost 9,000 Ethiopian Jews stuck in transit camps to immigrate to Israel. The last of the Falasha Mura's have been obstructed from immigrating by Israeli authorities.
(See Isaiah 43:6 in the Bible's Revised Standard Edition).
(Declare that Israel should not hold these Jews back from returning to the Promised Land!)
Hot Spots
*Lebanon: At least 2,500 Hezbollah guerillas are operating in southern Lebanon, in defiance of UN Resolution 1701. Hezbollah has tripled its military arsenal since the Lebanon War of 2006. It has reportedly obtained 30-40,000 missiles capable of covering 75% of Israel. It is also busy recruiting and training new fighters, as well as expanding its Command Center. Some Israeli defense officials think that Hezbollah currently poses a greater threat to Israel than Iran. One of the reasons is because Israel does not have an anti-missile defense system in place to deter short-range rockets from hitting the Jewish State.
(Proclaim Psalm 91:5-6).
Meanwhile, Hezbollah leader Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah still plans to avenge the death of arch-terrorist Imad Muginyeh, and has tried, so far unsuccessfully
to kidnap Israelis traveling abroad.
(Proclaim Psalm 91:9-13 for Jewish people in Israel and the nations who are vulnerable to an attack from Hezbollah. Pray for God's protection and safety over His chosen people).
*Iran: Ehud Barak, Israel's Defense Minister, has said that if Russia delivers its most advanced anti-aircraft missile system to Iran, Israel will neutralize the effectiveness of that system by using a specialized electronic warfare device. This would, in effect embarrass Russian officials and be a blow to Russia's national security. Barak thinks that a nuclear Iran poses a danger to world order. He also stated, recently, that if attacked, Israel is prepared to respond and to succeed uncompromisingly.
(Continue to stand in the gap in intercession -- that God will not allow the enemy to bring the Ezekiel Chapter 38 and 39 war before its appointed time).
*Syria: An illusion of peace based on a progression in talks between Israel and Syria continue to occupy the global news media. At the same time that Israel has agreed to withdraw from the Golan Heights through in-direct negotiations, Syria has not agreed to separate itself from terrorist groups, including Hezbollah and Hamas. Nor, has Syria agreed to back down from its close strategic relationship with Iran.
Since Syria has entered into the peace equation with Israel, Syria's President Bashar Assad has enjoyed unprecedented favor with the international community, especially Turkey, France and Qatar. At the same time, Syria has upgraded relations with the Lebanese government.
A new confrontation with Israel is possible if Syria and Iran continue to deliver advanced weapons systems to Hezbollah that pose a major threat to Israel's security. Syria continues to use diplomacy as a pressure on Israel, while preparing for brutal military tactics on Israel's northern border.
Assad has not stopped trying to acquire advanced missile systems, including requests in his recent meeting with Russian officials. He has asked for the delivery of long-range Russian anti-aircraft missiles to Syria. He has also offered to deploy short-range Russian missiles on Syrian territory.
*Russia: Russia has shown its own aggressive tactics in its recent invasion of the country of Georgia. Threatened by US military advances in Europe, (in terms of missile defense), Russia has also deeply disapproved of countries near its borders aligning with NATO forces.
Russia has threatened to attack a U.S. anti-missile defense system if it is deployed in Poland. Russia has also made some serious threats against U.S. measures to deploy a radar tracking system in the Czech Republic, as well.
Some analysts see the Iranian-Syrian-Russian axis (including terrorist proxy Hezbollah in Lebanon) as a rising global power that must be dealt with by the international community. However, many countries, especially those in Europe, would rather do business with these rogue nations and appease them,ignoring both subtle and blatant acts of aggression. Meanwhile, Russia continues to play an active role in the Gulf region, activating Soviet military alliances despite calls for Russia to be excluded from the G8 and expelled from the UN Security Council. Russia is counting on disunity among member states, taking advantage of a weakened Western economy hit by increasing oil prices, and by a dependence on foreign oil supplies.
(Proclaim Psalm 46:6-7: "The nations raged, the kingdoms were moved; He uttered His voice, the earth melted. The Lord of Hosts is with us; the God of Jacob is our refuge").
International Diplomacy
U.S. diplomacy in the Middle East has taken a step backwards while U.S. citizens concentrate on domestic policies at home. This transition is a result of a political focus on the upcoming American presidential elections. This vacuum has allowed France and Russia to get a foothold in the Middle East, with leaders of those nations pressing their own agendas, which are not necessarily good for Israel.
(Pray Psalm Chapter 37 on behalf of Israel, especially verse 6. Pray that Israeli diplomats and politicians will walk in God's wisdom regarding every foreign policy initiative presented by the international community, especially during this vulnerable time in diplomacy).
U.S.-Israel Strategic Military Cooperation
The special relationship between Israeli and American defense officials is enhanced by increased cooperation in missile-defense technology. The possibility of war with Iran has caused both nations to deploy more advanced weapons systems that provide greater coordination between air force and army officers. Israel and the U.S. are performing military exercises (simulations and drills) to prepare for deployment of these systems. The U.S. is likely to deploy missile defense systems on ships off Israel's coast to assist in intercepting in-coming ballistic missiles from Iran if war breaks out.
(Pray for U.S. Major General Ido Zehushtan who would be the central commander in charge of missile defense systems in the Middle East region in the event of war). (See Jerusalem Post Frontlines article, titled, "In Advance", Friday, August 8, 08).
(Pray for Israel's ability to protect the Jewish nation in the event of a missile war. One of the ways Israel does this is by flying over enemy territory to deter acts of war and terror).
Vulnerable Skies
Apparently, Hezbollah can now track Israeli Air Force planes from the Mediterranean Sea in the west, to Damascus in the east, because of advanced radar installations located in Lebanon's Bekaa Valley. Hezbollah reportedly received help from Syrian and Iranian operatives in installing these systems.
Hamas, in Gaza, is thought to have a number of shoulder-to-shoulder air missiles, as well as heavy anti-aircraft machine guns. Therefore, Israel's air force is not flying as much over Gaza as it has in the past.
These sophisticated systems, deployed by Israel's enemies in Lebanon and Gaza make it more difficult for Israeli air force flyovers. This also means the possibility of Israeli aircraft being shot down in the event of war.
(Pray for these vulnerabilities in Israeli air defenses as the Jewish nation tries to increase its deterrence capability against evil aggression. Israel's enemies are vigorous and strong, and their capabilities have multiplied, but God is a constant defender of His chosen people – the "apple of His eye"). (See Psalm 38:21-22; Psalm 71:12-13; Deuteronomy 32:10).
(Pray for Israelis as they prepare for war, according to Psalm 144:1-2. God will not allow Israel to be destroyed). (See Jeremiah 31:35-37).
Prisoner Release
Recently, in defiance of Israel's own "red lines", Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's government released almost 200 Palestinian prisoners, including several with "blood on their hands". Some of these terrorists had committed murder against Israeli civilians and were serving time in jail until their recent release. The diplomatic pressure on Israel to please the international community by bolstering political support for Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas has not necessarily advanced the peace process. It has also not cleared the way for a release of Israeli P.O.W. Gilad Shalit.
(Pray that the Israeli government will not enter into any more snares because of a lack of counsel and sound judgment. Declare Proverbs 29:25-26. Pray for Corporal Shalit who is suffering health issues in captivity. Pray that he will be healed supernaturally by God as he waits for deliverance from his captives, and freedom to return to his family in Israel).
(Declare Psalm 121:1-8 for all of Israel during this vulnerable time in Israel's sixty year history)!
Thursday, July 31, 2008
SITUATION ANALYSIS -- III
Jerusalem, Israel
POLITICAL TURMOIL
The recent announcement by Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, that he will leave office once a Kadima member is elected to replace him in mid-September, puts Israel in a vulnerable position politically. This now starts a process of transition from Olmert to a new prime minister.
The two candidates that have a possible chance at winning the Kadima internal election are current Foreign Minister Tzippi Livni, and current Transportation Minister Shaul Mofaz.
Once Kadima members vote to decide who will lead their party and, ultimately, who will lead the country through early 2009, the newly chosen prime minister still has to retain a strong government coalition. There is speculation that either candidate will look to form a national unity government with Likud leader Benjamin Netanyahu, and Labor leader Ehud Barak. One major reason for a national unity government would be Israel’s concern over a possible military confrontation with Iran by 2009.
Meanwhile, analysts in Israel predict that new general elections in Israel could take place as early as spring 2009, at which point the Israeli public would be able to participate and elect a new prime minister and party to lead the country. In interviewing Israelis over the past couple of weeks, the impression is that they do not see a potential candidate who they think can adequately run the country. This pessimism is prevalent in Israeli society, as many citizens have lost confidence in the Israeli political system.
PRAYER POINTS:
Scripture indicates that a kingdom, city, or house divided against itself cannot stand. (Matthew 12:25). Therefore, prayers are needed for the Jewish nation to find renewed hope in the possibility of new leadership for the country. Also, pray for “unity of the Spirit and the bond of peace” during this critical transition time, as members of Israel’s political system consider joining forces to deal with the need for safety and security in this hostile region of the world.
What does unite Israelis is the existential threat of a future nuclear Iran. Pray that citizens look beyond their tarnished leaders to the more important issue of the survival of the nation. Pray that the Lord raises up new leadership in Israel that is more concerned for the welfare of the state than personal advancement and power.
Matthew 12:35-37 sheds some light here. Pray that good men, out of the good treasure of their hearts, will bring forth good things and that by their words, they will be justified. Pray that their actions will show good judgment, humility, and true concern for the needs of the population. Pray that whoever becomes prime minister will not sacrifice land for peace, but will look towards being a good steward of the land God has given, and trust Him for Israel to find peace with its enemies.
NATIONS WANTING TO DIVIDE GOD’S LAND
Even though U.S. President George W. Bush is in his last months in office, his administration continues to pressure Israel to divide the land, and concede much of Judea and Samaria (the West Bank) to the Palestinian Authority. U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown, despite his high unpopularity ratings in Britain, visited Israel recently, and blasted the government for settlement expansion. He urged Israel to compromise with the Palestinians on the land issue.
Any kind of written agreement between Olmert and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, which is witnessed by the U.S. and the international community, will obligate Israeli leaders. Regardless of how vague that agreement is, it becomes a trap for future Israeli governments that would be obliged to follow the “pre-conditions” accepted and approved by Olmert, Abbas, and Bush.
PRAYER POINTS:
Pray that Israel’s current and future leadership will not succumb to pressure through having a fear of man, but will instead trust in the Lord and His security, according to Proverbs 12:25. Declare Zechariah 2:8-13, that America and other nations will not touch the “apple of God’s eye” and that if they do, they will be subject to His righteous judgment.
Pray that the U.S. and the international community will enter into God’s blessings, and will join themselves to the Lord’s plans and purposes. Proclaim the Lord’s possession of Judah as his inheritance in the Holy Land, acknowledging that He will again choose Jerusalem, as He has done so many times in the past.
JERUSALEM
After years of negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians, and a conflict that has lasted throughout the generations, the sticking point that does not allow a settlement and a final peace treaty is Jerusalem. This has continued to be the point of contention between the two peoples.
Recent reports indicate that the Palestinians are uncompromising on this issue. For them, Jerusalem is a red line they will not cross. They want a state of Palestine with Jerusalem as their capital and they have not relented on that demand. Palestinian leaders have declared that the international community must understand that Jerusalem is the core problem.
This is not a new revelation. To keep his government from falling, Olmert made agreements with coalition members that he would not negotiate on Jerusalem. While negotiations reportedly did take place, especially between Foreign Minister Tzippi Livni and Palestinian leaders, such as Ahmed Qurei, it was finally decided that these negotiations would not be part of the current attempt to come up with an agreement by the end of 2008.
Now, even a “declaration of principles” or a “shelf agreement” seems unlikely because of the political climate in Israel. But, adding to that is the issue of Jerusalem...an issue that will not go away, regardless of who becomes the next leader of Israel.
PRAYER POINTS:
Declare God’s sovereignty over Jerusalem and His heart for Zion. Pray for Jerusalem’s peace, according to Psalm 122:1-9. Pray that Jerusalem will remain the undivided eternal capital of Israel. Pray Psalm 48:1-13, especially that God will establish Zion forever. Proclaim Psalm 46:10: “The Lord shall reign forever, Your God, O Zion, to all generations.” Bring Israel before God in your prayers, because, according to scripture, they have joined themselves to the Lord in a perpetual covenant, seeking His face in Zion (see Jeremiah 50:4-5; Obadiah 17).
INCREASE IN VIOLENCE
Bulldozer terrorism is the latest attempt by Israel’s enemies to shed blood in the city of Jerusalem. During the past month, the population has been confronted by two terrorists, both coming from East Jerusalem neighborhoods, who tried to kill Israelis, using a bulldozer from a construction site. One Israeli Arab terrorist smashed cars and ran pedestrians over on Jaffa Road. Another used his bulldozer to wound Israelis on King David Street. Both attacks happened in the middle of the day on busy streets in the heart of the city.
Because these Arabs have Israeli citizenship, and supposedly acted on their own (and, not as part of a terror group), this has limited the ability of police and the IDF to thwart such attacks.
PRAYER POINTS:
Pray for reconciliation efforts between Israeli Jews and Arabs, especially those who are residing in the Jerusalem area. Pray for the Israeli police and army to have insights and wisdom as they increase their intelligence capabilities to stop the terror attacks. Pray that this barbaric act of bulldozer terrorism will cease immediately.
Pray Psalm 125 upon Israel, and upon Jerusalem, especially for God’s protection over the city. (Verse 2: “As the mountains surround Jerusalem so the Lord surrounds His people from this time forth and forever”). The Lord promises that Mt. Zion cannot be moved, but abides forever. Pray that the peace process will not move forward in man’s attempt to compromise on Jerusalem.
Declare God’s ability to make His enemies His footstool, and that He will rule in the midst of His enemies, according to Psalm 110:1-2. Ask the Lord to give defense leaders wisdom in how to deter terrorist attacks on Israel’s cities.
Proclaim Psalm 14:2-6, that the Lord is building up Jerusalem; gathering the outcasts of Israel; healing the brokenhearted; and, binding up their wounds. Thank God that He is lifting up the humble and casting the wicked to the ground. Thank Him, also, that He dettered the second bulldozer terrorist from being able to kill Israelis, by alerting a civilian to shoot the enemy before he could do any more harm.
Pray comfort for the families that lost loved ones in the first attack. Pray for a full healing and recovery for those Israelis who were wounded in both attacks.
AL QAEDA
Recent media reports indicate that Al Qaeda’s presence in Gaza has now been extended to the West Bank (Judea and Samaria), with elements trying to gain a foothold in east Jerusalem.
PRAYER POINTS:
Pray confusion into the enemy camp. Pray that the Lord gives Israel insights on how to root out Al Qaeda strongholds in the Palestinian territories and in Jerusalem Arab neighborhoods.
Intercede according to Psalm 121:1-8. Based on that scripture, pray that Israelis look to the Lord for help. Declare that He will now allow their foot to stumble, and that “He who keeps Israel shall neither slumber nor sleep.”
Pray that Israelis have dreams and visions which bring them understanding that the Lord is their keeper, who will preserve them from all evil. Pray His protection over Israel now and in the future.
PRISONER EXCHANGE AND THE THREAT OF FUTURE KIDNAPPINGS
The recent prisoner exchange between Israel and Hezbollah resulted in the release of four Hezbollah terrorists and one Palestinian murderer with “blood on their hands” This was a red line that Israel was willing to cross in order to retrieve two P.O.W.’s from the hands of Hezbollah – soldiers, Ehud Goldwasser and Eldad Regev.
Unfortunately, because of faulty Israeli Military Intelligence, no one knew if Goldwasser and Regev were alive. For two years their families worked hard at promoting their cause; petitioning the United Nations, the Red Cross, the United States, the EU, and many nations; demanding a report on the welfare of these soldiers kidnapped on the Israeli-Lebanese border, July 2008.
In the end, as thousands of Israelis watched on television, the bodies of these two soldiers came back home in two black coffins. This was a disappointment, not only to Karmi Goldwasser (Ehud’s wife), but to both families who lost their sons.
In addition, there was skepticism in Israel and abroad about the prisoner exchange with critics saying it would lead to a strong price that Israel would have to pay for the release of P.O.W. Corporal Gilad Shalit, who is still being held in Gaza, after more than two years of being captured by Hamas.
Israel faces more kidnapping threats from Hezbollah leader, Hassan Nasrallah in Lebanon. Israel’s prisoner exchange was seen by Arabs in the region as a further weakening of the resolve of the Jewish state.
In Israel, the prisoner exchange was a uniting factor, as many here mourned, together, the death of Goldwasser and Regev. On the streets, Israeli mothers explained to me that they would want to know the fate of their sons if this happened to their family; and they understood the need for the soldiers to be returned home, even if they were no longer alive, so there could be a proper burial for them.
This one incident showed how Israelis pull together during times of tragedy. It also revealed how the state fulfilled its responsibility to bring its soldiers home in any way possible, assuring new draftees to the IDF that the government can be trusted to meet its obligations.
PRAYER POINTS:
Pray for the prevention of any future kidnappings by Hezbollah, Hamas or any other terrorist entity. Pray that Hezbollah will be prevented by the Lord from avenging the death of Imad Mugniyeh. Hezbollah has threatened Israel and Jewish groups, worldwide, claiming that Israel assassinated the arch terrorist in Syria earlier this year -- a claim that Israel has continually denied.
Pray protection over Jewish people in Israel and the nations from any attempts by the enemy to strike at Jewish targets. Pray for God’s shield to keep the state of Israel secure; that He would increase intercession on the walls of Jerusalem and throughout the land. Proclaim Psalm 144:1-2 on Israel’s behalf.
Pray that Israel will not be forced to release thousands of Palestinian terrorists in exchange for Corporal Gilad Shalit. Seek the Lord and ask Him to give wisdom and favor to Israeli negotiators so that Shalit can be released soon. Pray for his deliverance and escape, according to Psalm 71:1-16. Ask the Lord to take him out of the hand of the wicked; from those unrighteous and cruel men who are holding him captive.
Pray that Shalit will understand clearly that his hope, trust, and refuge must be in the Lord. Ask the Lord for Shalit to be strengthened and healed supernaturally while in captivity. Intercede that God will hasten Shalit’s release and help him.
According to Jeremiah 31:23-25, pray that the Lord will satiate the weary soul, and replenish every sorrowful soul that has paid a high price in losing their beloved one on the battlefield.
POLITICAL TURMOIL
The recent announcement by Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, that he will leave office once a Kadima member is elected to replace him in mid-September, puts Israel in a vulnerable position politically. This now starts a process of transition from Olmert to a new prime minister.
The two candidates that have a possible chance at winning the Kadima internal election are current Foreign Minister Tzippi Livni, and current Transportation Minister Shaul Mofaz.
Once Kadima members vote to decide who will lead their party and, ultimately, who will lead the country through early 2009, the newly chosen prime minister still has to retain a strong government coalition. There is speculation that either candidate will look to form a national unity government with Likud leader Benjamin Netanyahu, and Labor leader Ehud Barak. One major reason for a national unity government would be Israel’s concern over a possible military confrontation with Iran by 2009.
Meanwhile, analysts in Israel predict that new general elections in Israel could take place as early as spring 2009, at which point the Israeli public would be able to participate and elect a new prime minister and party to lead the country. In interviewing Israelis over the past couple of weeks, the impression is that they do not see a potential candidate who they think can adequately run the country. This pessimism is prevalent in Israeli society, as many citizens have lost confidence in the Israeli political system.
PRAYER POINTS:
Scripture indicates that a kingdom, city, or house divided against itself cannot stand. (Matthew 12:25). Therefore, prayers are needed for the Jewish nation to find renewed hope in the possibility of new leadership for the country. Also, pray for “unity of the Spirit and the bond of peace” during this critical transition time, as members of Israel’s political system consider joining forces to deal with the need for safety and security in this hostile region of the world.
What does unite Israelis is the existential threat of a future nuclear Iran. Pray that citizens look beyond their tarnished leaders to the more important issue of the survival of the nation. Pray that the Lord raises up new leadership in Israel that is more concerned for the welfare of the state than personal advancement and power.
Matthew 12:35-37 sheds some light here. Pray that good men, out of the good treasure of their hearts, will bring forth good things and that by their words, they will be justified. Pray that their actions will show good judgment, humility, and true concern for the needs of the population. Pray that whoever becomes prime minister will not sacrifice land for peace, but will look towards being a good steward of the land God has given, and trust Him for Israel to find peace with its enemies.
NATIONS WANTING TO DIVIDE GOD’S LAND
Even though U.S. President George W. Bush is in his last months in office, his administration continues to pressure Israel to divide the land, and concede much of Judea and Samaria (the West Bank) to the Palestinian Authority. U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown, despite his high unpopularity ratings in Britain, visited Israel recently, and blasted the government for settlement expansion. He urged Israel to compromise with the Palestinians on the land issue.
Any kind of written agreement between Olmert and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, which is witnessed by the U.S. and the international community, will obligate Israeli leaders. Regardless of how vague that agreement is, it becomes a trap for future Israeli governments that would be obliged to follow the “pre-conditions” accepted and approved by Olmert, Abbas, and Bush.
PRAYER POINTS:
Pray that Israel’s current and future leadership will not succumb to pressure through having a fear of man, but will instead trust in the Lord and His security, according to Proverbs 12:25. Declare Zechariah 2:8-13, that America and other nations will not touch the “apple of God’s eye” and that if they do, they will be subject to His righteous judgment.
Pray that the U.S. and the international community will enter into God’s blessings, and will join themselves to the Lord’s plans and purposes. Proclaim the Lord’s possession of Judah as his inheritance in the Holy Land, acknowledging that He will again choose Jerusalem, as He has done so many times in the past.
JERUSALEM
After years of negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians, and a conflict that has lasted throughout the generations, the sticking point that does not allow a settlement and a final peace treaty is Jerusalem. This has continued to be the point of contention between the two peoples.
Recent reports indicate that the Palestinians are uncompromising on this issue. For them, Jerusalem is a red line they will not cross. They want a state of Palestine with Jerusalem as their capital and they have not relented on that demand. Palestinian leaders have declared that the international community must understand that Jerusalem is the core problem.
This is not a new revelation. To keep his government from falling, Olmert made agreements with coalition members that he would not negotiate on Jerusalem. While negotiations reportedly did take place, especially between Foreign Minister Tzippi Livni and Palestinian leaders, such as Ahmed Qurei, it was finally decided that these negotiations would not be part of the current attempt to come up with an agreement by the end of 2008.
Now, even a “declaration of principles” or a “shelf agreement” seems unlikely because of the political climate in Israel. But, adding to that is the issue of Jerusalem...an issue that will not go away, regardless of who becomes the next leader of Israel.
PRAYER POINTS:
Declare God’s sovereignty over Jerusalem and His heart for Zion. Pray for Jerusalem’s peace, according to Psalm 122:1-9. Pray that Jerusalem will remain the undivided eternal capital of Israel. Pray Psalm 48:1-13, especially that God will establish Zion forever. Proclaim Psalm 46:10: “The Lord shall reign forever, Your God, O Zion, to all generations.” Bring Israel before God in your prayers, because, according to scripture, they have joined themselves to the Lord in a perpetual covenant, seeking His face in Zion (see Jeremiah 50:4-5; Obadiah 17).
INCREASE IN VIOLENCE
Bulldozer terrorism is the latest attempt by Israel’s enemies to shed blood in the city of Jerusalem. During the past month, the population has been confronted by two terrorists, both coming from East Jerusalem neighborhoods, who tried to kill Israelis, using a bulldozer from a construction site. One Israeli Arab terrorist smashed cars and ran pedestrians over on Jaffa Road. Another used his bulldozer to wound Israelis on King David Street. Both attacks happened in the middle of the day on busy streets in the heart of the city.
Because these Arabs have Israeli citizenship, and supposedly acted on their own (and, not as part of a terror group), this has limited the ability of police and the IDF to thwart such attacks.
PRAYER POINTS:
Pray for reconciliation efforts between Israeli Jews and Arabs, especially those who are residing in the Jerusalem area. Pray for the Israeli police and army to have insights and wisdom as they increase their intelligence capabilities to stop the terror attacks. Pray that this barbaric act of bulldozer terrorism will cease immediately.
Pray Psalm 125 upon Israel, and upon Jerusalem, especially for God’s protection over the city. (Verse 2: “As the mountains surround Jerusalem so the Lord surrounds His people from this time forth and forever”). The Lord promises that Mt. Zion cannot be moved, but abides forever. Pray that the peace process will not move forward in man’s attempt to compromise on Jerusalem.
Declare God’s ability to make His enemies His footstool, and that He will rule in the midst of His enemies, according to Psalm 110:1-2. Ask the Lord to give defense leaders wisdom in how to deter terrorist attacks on Israel’s cities.
Proclaim Psalm 14:2-6, that the Lord is building up Jerusalem; gathering the outcasts of Israel; healing the brokenhearted; and, binding up their wounds. Thank God that He is lifting up the humble and casting the wicked to the ground. Thank Him, also, that He dettered the second bulldozer terrorist from being able to kill Israelis, by alerting a civilian to shoot the enemy before he could do any more harm.
Pray comfort for the families that lost loved ones in the first attack. Pray for a full healing and recovery for those Israelis who were wounded in both attacks.
AL QAEDA
Recent media reports indicate that Al Qaeda’s presence in Gaza has now been extended to the West Bank (Judea and Samaria), with elements trying to gain a foothold in east Jerusalem.
PRAYER POINTS:
Pray confusion into the enemy camp. Pray that the Lord gives Israel insights on how to root out Al Qaeda strongholds in the Palestinian territories and in Jerusalem Arab neighborhoods.
Intercede according to Psalm 121:1-8. Based on that scripture, pray that Israelis look to the Lord for help. Declare that He will now allow their foot to stumble, and that “He who keeps Israel shall neither slumber nor sleep.”
Pray that Israelis have dreams and visions which bring them understanding that the Lord is their keeper, who will preserve them from all evil. Pray His protection over Israel now and in the future.
PRISONER EXCHANGE AND THE THREAT OF FUTURE KIDNAPPINGS
The recent prisoner exchange between Israel and Hezbollah resulted in the release of four Hezbollah terrorists and one Palestinian murderer with “blood on their hands” This was a red line that Israel was willing to cross in order to retrieve two P.O.W.’s from the hands of Hezbollah – soldiers, Ehud Goldwasser and Eldad Regev.
Unfortunately, because of faulty Israeli Military Intelligence, no one knew if Goldwasser and Regev were alive. For two years their families worked hard at promoting their cause; petitioning the United Nations, the Red Cross, the United States, the EU, and many nations; demanding a report on the welfare of these soldiers kidnapped on the Israeli-Lebanese border, July 2008.
In the end, as thousands of Israelis watched on television, the bodies of these two soldiers came back home in two black coffins. This was a disappointment, not only to Karmi Goldwasser (Ehud’s wife), but to both families who lost their sons.
In addition, there was skepticism in Israel and abroad about the prisoner exchange with critics saying it would lead to a strong price that Israel would have to pay for the release of P.O.W. Corporal Gilad Shalit, who is still being held in Gaza, after more than two years of being captured by Hamas.
Israel faces more kidnapping threats from Hezbollah leader, Hassan Nasrallah in Lebanon. Israel’s prisoner exchange was seen by Arabs in the region as a further weakening of the resolve of the Jewish state.
In Israel, the prisoner exchange was a uniting factor, as many here mourned, together, the death of Goldwasser and Regev. On the streets, Israeli mothers explained to me that they would want to know the fate of their sons if this happened to their family; and they understood the need for the soldiers to be returned home, even if they were no longer alive, so there could be a proper burial for them.
This one incident showed how Israelis pull together during times of tragedy. It also revealed how the state fulfilled its responsibility to bring its soldiers home in any way possible, assuring new draftees to the IDF that the government can be trusted to meet its obligations.
PRAYER POINTS:
Pray for the prevention of any future kidnappings by Hezbollah, Hamas or any other terrorist entity. Pray that Hezbollah will be prevented by the Lord from avenging the death of Imad Mugniyeh. Hezbollah has threatened Israel and Jewish groups, worldwide, claiming that Israel assassinated the arch terrorist in Syria earlier this year -- a claim that Israel has continually denied.
Pray protection over Jewish people in Israel and the nations from any attempts by the enemy to strike at Jewish targets. Pray for God’s shield to keep the state of Israel secure; that He would increase intercession on the walls of Jerusalem and throughout the land. Proclaim Psalm 144:1-2 on Israel’s behalf.
Pray that Israel will not be forced to release thousands of Palestinian terrorists in exchange for Corporal Gilad Shalit. Seek the Lord and ask Him to give wisdom and favor to Israeli negotiators so that Shalit can be released soon. Pray for his deliverance and escape, according to Psalm 71:1-16. Ask the Lord to take him out of the hand of the wicked; from those unrighteous and cruel men who are holding him captive.
Pray that Shalit will understand clearly that his hope, trust, and refuge must be in the Lord. Ask the Lord for Shalit to be strengthened and healed supernaturally while in captivity. Intercede that God will hasten Shalit’s release and help him.
According to Jeremiah 31:23-25, pray that the Lord will satiate the weary soul, and replenish every sorrowful soul that has paid a high price in losing their beloved one on the battlefield.
Friday, July 11, 2008
LINK
Readers, please note that an update to the news on Iran in this blog can be found by going to: www.threatswatch.org
You will see a published article titled, "Countering the Iranian Threat" by C. Hart. That's my latest analysis.
If you can't find it, here's the link:
http://threatswatch.org/analysis/2008/07/countering-the-iranian-threat/
You will see a published article titled, "Countering the Iranian Threat" by C. Hart. That's my latest analysis.
If you can't find it, here's the link:
http://threatswatch.org/analysis/2008/07/countering-the-iranian-threat/
Monday, June 30, 2008
SITUATION ANALYSIS -- II
Jerusalem, Israel
This is a political, diplomatic, and military assessment of current developments in Israel, the Middle East, and other regions of the world. It includes specific prayer points, at the conclusion, for those watching global events.
HEADLINES:
This is a political, diplomatic, and military assessment of current developments in Israel, the Middle East, and other regions of the world. It includes specific prayer points, at the conclusion, for those watching global events.
HEADLINES:
- Preparations For Future Military Conflicts
- The Iranian Threat
- Middle East Alignments
- Olmert's Negotiations With Syria
- The Golan Heights
- Changes In Influence In the Middle East
- Shelf Agreements and Drawer Plans
- Statistics on Corruption
- Prayer Points
PREPARATIONS FOR FUTURE MILITARY CONFLICTS
From high alert to high alert, Israel is always in a preparatory state for a future military conflict. In line with that assessment, the Israeli government has recently allowed defense officials to go on record in announcing to media outlets that the IAF (Israeli Air Force) is preparing for action on several fronts. This is Israel’s saber rattling towards enemy states and their proxies. Putting Iran on notice, IDF officials and government leaders have recently boasted of Israeli military advancements in jet fighters, anti-defense missile systems, and sophisticated unmanned aerial vehicles that can carry deadly weapons as payloads.
On Israel’s northern border, reports indicate that Hezbollah has tripled its military capabilities since the Second Lebanon War of 2006. It has also entrenched itself in re-built and fortified underground bunkers north and south of the Litani River, despite the presence of UN troops in the area since the end of the war. Hezbollah, which just won substantial political gains within the Lebanese government, may want to show off its military might by looking for the right moment to engage Israel in a conflict over the Shaba Farms territory, which is currently under Israeli control. Both Lebanese and Syrian leaders claim this area is officially part of their domain.
Syria and Israel are engaged in widely publicized peace negotiations, and while on the “brink of peace”, Israel knows it also means the “brink of war”. If negotiations break down, Syria will only draw closer to its present ally... Iran.
Though U.S. reports indicate otherwise, Syria has refused to admit that it has hidden nuclear facilities within the state. In the future, if Israeli leaders believe these facilities are close to becoming operational, the IAF may consider another strike on Syrian territory, similar to the Israeli strike on a nuclear plant in the northern Syrian desert on September 6, 2007. This could lead to a strong military response from Syria.
While Israel deals with various risks to its national stability, the greatest preparations both diplomatically and politically involve the longer-range regional threat ... Iran.
THE IRANIAN THREAT
Israel seems to have successfully convinced France, the UK, Germany, and Italy that the dangers of Iran extend beyond the Middle East to Europe. This is because Iran is building sophisticated missiles that will eventually be capable of hitting Europe’s coastal region.
Israeli diplomatic negotiations with Europe have resulted in an increase in strategic cooperation agreements, with a recent political upgrade in Israel-EU relations.
French President Nicholas Sarkozy made an official visit to Israel recently, putting his full support behind the Jewish state with regard to Iran. France has taken over the EU presidency this summer, which benefits Israel because of the already close relationship with Sarkozy.
On July 13, Sarkozy is forming a new union of European and Mediterranean countries. This will provide a strong united front of regional cooperation in lieu of the Iranian threat. It could also include the opportunity for greater coordination with NATO in advanced military maneuvers. Already, Israeli defense forces have been close observers to expansive NATO exercises in the region.
Israel recently held its own mass military exercise in the Mediterranean, with 100 jet fighters doing flyovers that included a stretch of 1500 kilometers – precisely the distance from Israel to Iran. This follows less known Israeli military exercises in North America, Italy, Greece, and Spain.
During the past month, two top Israeli IDF officers talked about a possible military confrontation between Israel and Iran. It appears that the Israeli government allowed these men to speak-up in order to assess public opinion. When Israeli Deputy Prime Minister General Shaul Mofaz (born in 1948 in Tehran) made his statement about a military option against Iran, the stock market showed a marked fluctuation, and the price of oil skyrocketed. When former Deputy Defense Minister, Ephraim Sneh spoke his mind on the subject, there was no marked response in world markets.
Meanwhile, U.S. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Admiral Michael Mullen has been in Israel twice in recent months to talk with defense officials about Iran. His visit follows an unprecedented number of high level U.S. military officers visiting the Jewish state, including two four-star U.S. generals.
Mullen commented that there have been several incidents in the Straits of Hormuz involving Iranian Revolutionary Guard gunboats which have aggressively approached U.S. ships, and he expects there could be similar encounters in the future. Millions of barrels of oil are shipped daily through the Straits which constitute about 20% of the world’s consumption. About 60% of global oil supplies pass through there. One Iranian tactic that could jeopardize the world economy and lead to war would be to cut off the flow of oil through the Straits.
Recently, Iran threatened to do just that. It said that if attacked it would launch missile attacks against Israeli and U.S. interests in the Gulf region and choke off the Straits. This would cause oil prices to rise sustantially.
Israel is looking seriously at a recent military transaction that allegedly took place between Russia and Iran. According to reports, Russia may have sold Iran an advanced air defense missile system that can track dozens of targets, simultaneously, and could hurt Israel’s ability to strike Iran effectively. Threatening Israel’s qualitative edge, the deployment of this system in Iran would have major repercussions for Israel. The IAF could decide to strike Iran before the system is delivered.
Most of the world’s attention is on the upcoming U.S. elections in a contest that is pitting Democratic contender Barak Obama against Republican contender John McCain. Obama’s previous call for diplomatic talks with Iran has caused anxiety in some Israeli sectors. While current U.S. President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney are strong on the need to stop Iran’s nuclear program, nobody in Israel really knows how Obama will react if he becomes the next American president.
Israel needs American IFF (electronic Identification Friend or Foe) military codes to be able to fly over Iraq and Turkey in the event of a military strike against Iran. Would Obama provide these if he felt it wasn’t right for Israel to attack Iran?
The shuttling back and forth of U.S. officers to Israel, and media reports about current high level coordination between the two countries, has caused speculation about a possible Israeli air strike on Iranian nuclear sites during the period of transition in America between the 2008 U.S. November presidential elections and the inauguration in January 2009.
If Israel decides to strike and has to go it alone, the Jewish state is counting on help from America’s military. Looking at the present level of strategic cooperation between the two countries, it is likely that Israel would get the help it needs.
MIDDLE EAST ALIGNMENTS
According to Matti Steinberg, former Senior Advisor to the heads of the General Security Service (GSS) in Israel, there is no question that the involvement and interference of Iran in the Israeli-Arab conflict is stronger than any time before. It is part of the “Arabization” of Iran, he said. Iranians are Persians, not Arabs, but by being involved at the center of gravity of the Arab world, Steinburg believes Iran is presenting itself as loyal to the Arab conscience. Materially, Iran is the main supporter of Hamas.
Speaking at a recent gathering of journalists in Jerusalem, Steinberg explained that Israel should align itself with Arab states such as Jordan, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia as a common denominator against the Iranian threat.
“It becomes clear, more and more, that Iran is behind the main troubles in the area. It is behind Hezbollah and Hamas. It strives for a nuclear military power. And, maybe, an important way to weaken the extremists in the area is to weaken Iran. But, you have to prepare the political ground, and for this reason, you need the political process.”
Israel is now involved in several political processes with an aim at gathering a coalition of countries together for the primary purpose of stopping Iran, both in terms of its nuclear ambitions and its desire for regional dominance through terrorism.
OLMERT’S NEGOTIATIONS WITH SYRIA
It’s probable that Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert went into peace talks with Syrian President Bashar Assad to pull Syria out of the Iranian axis. This could be Olmert’s tactic – to negotiate on the Golan Heights issue, but not finalize any kind of settlement with Syria. This would be accomplished in order to isolate Iran, and attempt to increase the friction and suspicion between Iran and Syria.
The result might be that if Iran is attacked by Israel, with or without Western coalition forces helping, Syria would not feel compelled to participate in the conflict. This might be part of Olmert’s diplomatic maneuvering in preparation for a future military strike against Iran.
But, pulling Syria away from Iran will not be easy. Syria has a close strategic cooperation agreement with Iran, and both share the benefits of military cooperation with Russia, a country that continues to sell advanced arms to Damascus and Tehran.
THE GOLAN HEIGHTS
A majority of Israelis still do not want to cede the Golan Heights. As one former defense minister put it, “It’s better to be on top of the Heights than to be on the bottom.” Many citizens were not born yet, or don’t want to remember the times when the Heights were in Syrian hands and snipers frequently shot, wounded and killed Israelis living below. At least 30,000 Israelis live on the Golan today, which is a major water source for Israel.
In June, a joint session of the Knesset’s Law and House committees approved a first reading of a bill that would demand a “national referendum” before handing over any land currently under Israel’s authority. It also passed its first reading in the Knesset by a significant majority.
The bill will have to go through two more readings before it is passed. If it does become law, not only will the prime minister need to get his government’s approval, but also approval from members of the Knesset to withdraw from the Golan Heights. After that, he would need a majority of support from Israeli voters in a national referendum. However, if 80 members of the Knesset voted in favor of the withdrawal, that would rule out the need for a national referendum.
While Israelis continue to express their skepticism, Olmert’s dealings with Syria have now opened the door to European nations renewing contact with President Assad, a man who until just a few months ago felt the isolation of the West. Syria has been one of the “rogue states” that U.S. President George W. Bush has included in the “axis of evil.”
It is possible that Syria has acquired nuclear technology from North Korea, and if so, this needs to be known by the international community. Both North Korea and Syria need to be held accountable for any further nuclear proliferation.
HOT SPOTS
Gaza and the West Bank (Judea and Samaria) are potential hot spots right now where, despite the fact that Israel is engaged in a temporary cease-fire with Hamas, a military conflict could erupt at any time. The tahadiya (period of calm) allows Hamas time to develop its political and military strategies.
Hamas may try to avoid violence and look to form a national unity government with the Palestinian Authority, giving clear directives that Hamas is ultimately in control.
Or, Hamas may try and wrest control from Fatah in the West Bank, usurping power from Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas through violent clashes. This could cause Israel to enter into a new confrontation with terror groups.
Some Middle East analysts say that Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert accepted the tahadiya with Hamas to neutralize its influence in the region, while stopping the escalation of rocket attacks on Israel’s southern border communities to give the residents a respite. But, it is only a temporary solution until Israel finishes the Iron Dome anti-missile defense system. That system will provide Israel with a way to stop incoming Kassam rockets launched from Gaza, and Katyusha rockets launched from Lebanon. Currently, the project has experienced some delays and isn’t expected to be completed until 2010.
Meanwhile, Matti Steinburg spoke of the reasoning behind the tactics of Hamas in Gaza and those of the President of Syria.
“I think, in a way, one of the reasons, maybe not the prime reason, that Hamas adapted the tahadiya is to distance itself from Iran, expecting a collision between Iran and Israel or Iran and the U.S. I think that is one of the causes of Syria’s Bashar Assad to have a process with Israel. He wants to distance himself, because the American behavior is unpredictable, as well as Israel’s behavior.”
CHANGES IN INFLUENCE IN THE MIDDLE EAST
U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice visited Israel and Lebanon in June. In Jerusalem, she spoke out firmly against Israeli housing construction in East Jerusalem. She also agreed with Lebanese claims that Israel must withdraw its troops from the Shaba Farms area, and try to resolve the dispute between Lebanon and Israel.
Rice’s efforts at achieving a more balanced approach in U.S. Middle East policy are telltale signs that America is forcing its hand in the region, but without the superpower influence it once had. Making noise, Rice was showing the Europeans that the U.S. is still in charge as the leading mediator between Israel and its neighbors in peace efforts. However, it is Europe that is coming to the forefront now with a much greater role in Middle East affairs.
SHELF AGREEMENTS AND DRAWER PLANS
In Israeli diplomatic efforts with the Palestinians there’s been a continued catch phrase used called, “a shelf agreement”. For example, while a certain framework of compromise over “land for peace” might have been concluded in the current interests of Israeli and Palestinian negotiators, it still may not be acceptable to public opinion at this time. So, the agreement is put on a shelf until a future government administration can take it off the shelf and rehash the agreement.
These kinds of shelf agreements can be detrimental to Israel because they can diplomatically lock a future Israeli government into a pattern of surrender to new peace partners. Olmert may have already committed Israel to far-reaching concessions as part of a completed shelf agreement, which then means the next Israeli coalition has to deal with these concessions at the bargaining table.
"Drawer plans" are what Israeli military officials use as defense strategies in conflicts that arise with their enemies. A plan is in a drawer that determines a certain course of action, with blueprints included on how to carry forth that action.
Drawer plans actually help military officials, especially when they have already gone through the Israeli government’s Security Cabinet approval. Without a drawer plan, IDF officers would have to present their proposals again, which would result in a slower response time to enemy aggression.
Instead, the plan that has already been approved sits in a drawer until needed, and at that time is taken out and enforced, especially when a quick strike against enemy targets is necessary.
STATISTICS ON CORRUPTION
According to the 2008 Democracy Index, 90% of Israelis believe the nation is tainted with corruption; and 51% think that to reach the top, politically, one must be corrupt. Only 49% of the public has confidence in the Israeli Supreme Court (down from 61%).
This indicates the level of frustration that is occurring within Israeli society regarding dishonest power brokers in Olmert’s coalition government; potential illegal dealings of Knesset members; and negative influences of Israeli interest groups resulting in biased judges.
Israelis believe that, today, politicians are more focused on keeping their own political power bases than they are in caring for the population, especially concerning the security needs and welfare of the state.
At least 25% of Israeli youth are currently trying to avoid the draft. They feel that the Olmert government abandoned three Israeli soldiers in the Lebanon War, not caring enough to do everything possible to return the POW’s to their families. This has hurt the level of trust between the government and its citizens. Only recently has the Israeli government finalized a prisoner swap with Hezbollah in Lebanon to bring two of the soldiers home in a deal to take place in mid-July. The other soldier is still being held by Hamas in Gaza.
The good news is that 89% of Israelis are still proud of their country and 83% want to keep living in the Jewish state.
PRAYER POINTS
CORRUPTION IN THE GOVERNMENT: Declare Psalm 1:1-2 over Israeli leaders.
Pray that the government will not enter into the way of the wicked nor walk in the path of the evil one.
Pray that political parties will remove their feet from paths of malicious intent. (Proverbs 4:14-15; 26-27).
SNARES AND TRAPS: Through American diplomatic pressure, Israel has entangled itself in an agreement that willingly has allowed the Palestinian Authority to deploy more of its troops in the West Bank. American and Israeli negotiators wanted to strengthen the leadership of Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, hoping this would encourage the Palestinian population. But, the plan backfired. The troops have been infiltrated by Hamas and Islamic Jihad terrorists, and the weapons are ending up in the hands of these terror groups.
Pray Psalm 91 over Israel -- that God will not allow her foot to stumble, despite international pressure.
Hamas would like to establish a puppet regime in Gaza and the West Bank, making it look like the Palestinian Authority is governing the land when, in fact, Hamas would have most of the political and military control behind the scenes. This would provide a mechanism allowing the international community to “do business” with Hamas and other terrorist entities.
This is a model of deception, already being used by Hezbollah in Lebanon to draw diplomats to its power base. The purpose is to coerce Western nations into indirectly negotiating with radical Islamic groups.
Pray that all snares and traps like this, set up by the enemy, will be revealed and obliterated by the Lord.
Pray for a miraculous speeding up of Israel’s Iron Dome anti-missile defense system; that the project would be completed much earlier than expected.
Pray that while Israel’s skies currently are vulnerable to rocket attacks that citizens will “not be afraid of the terror by night nor of the arrow (missile) that flies by day.”
Pray that if rockets do fall they will not harm residents, but will land in open fields.
Pray that Israelis will be delivered from harm and live to see God’s dealings with wicked men. (Psalm 34:4; Jeremiah 15:21).
DISCERNMENT NEEDED: Pray that the Israeli government will not to be fooled by false hopes and will not be led into deception by Syria. If Olmert is playing with the process of peace, but without any intention of going through with peace plans, then pray Israel’s best interests are protected throughout the negotiations. (Psalm 33:10).
GEOGRAPHICAL WATCH: It’s important to keep a global prayer watch on the Straits of Hormuz, a place where Iran can make things difficult for international shipping and cause instability in that part of the Gulf region. Pray for a beefing-up of Western coalition forces in the Gulf in order to counter Iran’s aggressive actions.
TIMETABLES AND ALIYAH: The Bible mentions a time in Ezekiel Chapter 38:8-9 when, in the latter years, Persia (Iran), Ethiopia, Libya, and their allies (Russia?) will be called into action:
“In the distant future, you will swoop down on the land of Israel, which will be lying in peace after her recovery from war, and after the return of her people from many lands. You and all your allies – a vast and awesome horde – will roll down on them like a storm and cover the land like a cloud.” (New Living Translation).
This Ezekiel war, described throughout Chapters 38 and 39, seems to develop after another war occurs on Israeli soil. And, the Ezekiel war takes place after the return of Jews from many lands.
While there has been Jewish immigration from the nations, there are still millions yet to come. Anti-Semitism is causing Jews throughout the world to consider a move to Israel, and many are buying property in the Holy Land as a place of possible refuge in the future.
But, the facts remain that in 2007 Israel had its lowest year of immigration from the nations in the past 20 years. According to the Bible, Jews from the four corners of the earth will return to the land of their inheritance and dwell safely in Israel. We can expect many more to return before the Ezekiel war breaks out.
Certainly, few Jewish people have returned to the land of their forefathers from Western nations despite Biblical promises. Please pray and declare that Aliyah (Jewish immigration to the land of Israel) will dramatically increase this year, according to Isaiah 43:5-6 and Isaiah 49:12.
UNHOLY ALLIANCES: There are signs of unholy alliances growing stronger, with Russia and Libya buffeting Israel in the UN Security Council, and Russia arming Iran with weapons and military technology.
Reports also indicate that Iran’s proxy, Hezbollah, may have activated sleeper cells in the West, with terror operatives trying to infiltrate Canada, America, and Africa. The concern is that they will attempt to attack Jewish targets throughout the world, avenging the death of arch terrorist Imad Mughniyeh who was assassinated in February 2008 in Damascus. Hezbollah holds Israel accountable for the death.
Pray Psalm 35 over Israel and Jewish people throughout the world, asking God to contend with those who contend with His people.
Pray that the Lord will rescue the Jewish nation from lions; from those who truly do not speak peace but devise deceitful schemes.
Ask the Lord to take hold of shield and buckler and show His mighty strength and protection over Israel, pushing back demonic forces that want to unleash their aggressions against the state.
Declare confusion in the enemy camp, and release the Angel of the Lord to pursue Israel’s foes.
Rejoice with the Jewish people in their salvation and victory over those who would try to hurt them.
Shout for joy and be glad in favoring Israel’s righteous cause -- a covenant people in a covenant land under the rule of the God of Israel and His Messiah.
Proclaim that the Lord be magnified in prospering and defending the nation.
Pray that Israel will go up and possess the land that God has set before the nation, without fear and without discouragement. (Deuteronomy 1:21).
Saturday, May 31, 2008
SITUATION ANALYSIS -- I
Jerusalem, Israel
Israelis are at a breaking point, with several issues surfacing, and with the understanding that the political, diplomatic, and military balance in the country is in the process of rapid change.
What follows is a strategic assessment of news developments that are part of this process of change.
HEADLINES:
- Political Assessment
- Military Assessment
- Greater Cooperation Between Nations
POLITICAL ASSESSMENT
The on-going corruption case against Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert is in its beginning stages. But, already it has increased public mistrust in Olmert, and in the way Israel's political system functions. Several members of Olmert's government; members of the Knesset, both past and present; and, former prime ministers have been under police investigations, during one time or another, concerning the alleged misuse of funds. Therefore, change in political laws is imperative to stop the temptation towards fraud and bribery.
Meanwhile, at best, Israelis can expect a call for early elections, which would likely take place in the late fall of this year.
It is possible that Olmert’s Kadima party will strike a deal with him for a gracious exit. That would mean that Kadima would hold primaries, elect a successor to Olmert, and keep the current government in place until new elections. At that point, Olmert’s successor, heading the Kadima party, would run for the position of prime minister, along with other’s (probably, Labor party head Ehud Barak, and Likud party head, Benjamin Netanyahu).
A majority of Israelis want early elections, which means a time of transition in the country. This could lead to: (a) political instability in the nation for five months during election campaigning; (b) the shelving of peace negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians, and between Israel and the Syrians; (c) a chance for Palestinians in the West Bank and Hamas in Gaza to unify against Israel; (d) a general surge in terror against Israel.
Declare Psalm 121. If there is a call for early elections, pray that the Lord God of Israel will watch over His land, and prevent chaos from developing, during a period of political and diplomatic uncertainty.
Prayer is needed for Ehud Olmert. If he is guilty, pray that God would reveal this; expose any evil trail of his misdeeds; and that, if indicted, he would be prosecuted fairly under the law.
If he is not guilty, pray that he will learn from his unethical decisions. These include extracting large sums of cash from friends and donors over many years, without paying back loans; leading an extravagant lifestyle as a political leader who is out of touch with his constituency; and, engaging in alleged backdoor political and business dealings that point to a conflict of interest during his political career.
Prayer should be directed, as well, towards political reform of election laws in Israel. It is too easy to find loopholes in the current electoral system, especially when it comes to campaign financing.
Pray that Israeli government leaders put what’s good for the country before what is good for them, politically. Ask God to raise up men like David; men after God’s own heart.
(1 Samuel 13:13-14; 1 Samuel 15:22-23, 28-29).
MILITARY ASSESSMENT
Gaza: In the coming days, we will know if there is going to be a cease-fire or war between Israel and the terrorist Palestinian government of Hamas. Either way, there are indications that rioters from Gaza could try and breach border crossings between Israel and Gaza and between Egypt and Gaza. This, alone, could cause the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians to escalate.
Conditions in Gaza are at a critical stage right now, with the situation on the ground ready to boil over any day. The political instability in the Israeli government contributes to a perception, by Hamas and other terrorist groups, that the government of Israel is weak. Therefore, acts of aggression may follow soon. (2 Chronicles 16:9).
Pray for God to impart wisdom and understanding to those leaders in Israel’s government that will listen to His counsel. Pray that they will know whether it is to Israel’s advantage to accept a temporary cease-fire with Hamas, or whether it is time for a full-scale military incursion into Gaza. Either way, Israeli government officials feel the cleansing of Gaza’s terrorist infrastructure is long overdue. The continued rocket fire against Israeli towns has not stopped, and it will expand to include an even greater threat to Israel’s population, if the IDF (Israel’s Defense Forces) doesn’t act soon.
Lebanon: A recent victory in political negotiations to end a stalemate in Lebanon, has led to an increase in political power by Hezbollah, a terrorist group that has turned Lebanon into a terrorist state within a state. Israeli officials claim that Hezbollah is a battalion of the Iranian army that is guided, trained and equipped by Iranian Revolutionary Guards. Israel’s military assessment is that Hezbollah is now considered stronger that Lebanon’s general army.
Though Hezbollah is a minority party in the Lebanese government its political leaders now have veto power over every decision made by the newly formed cabinet. Israeli officials have asserted that Lebanon is becoming a proxy state of Iran through the increased power of Hezbollah.
Hezbollah leader, Sheik Hassan Nasrallah has announced an upcoming prisoner exchange with Israel. If this information is correct, a prisoner exchange would help Israel know whether its P.O.W.’s in Lebanon (Eldad Regev and Ehud Goldwasser) are still alive. Israel is also trying to negotiate a prisoner exchange with Hamas in Gaza for the return of P.O.W. Corporal Gilad Shalit.
Pray that Israel will remain strong and firm in any imminent prisoner exchange, and not release Lebanese or Palestinian prisoners from Israeli jails that have “blood on their hands.”
Pray that no manipulation from foreign governments, or terrorist armies, will be able to weaken Israel’s resolve.
Pray that Israel’s enemies will release all Israeli P.O.W.’s immediately, and without compromise to Israel’s interests. (Joel 3:4).
Pray for newly elected Lebanese president, Michel Suleimen, who will have limited political power, and who faces a huge task of uniting various religious clans in a nation that has already endured numerous years of bloody civil war.
Syria: A stable Israeli government must be in place before the end of 2008, in order to deal with increased tensions between Israel and Syria. While it is known that there are peace negotiations going on between Israel and Syria for a Golan Heights deal, what is little known is that Syria continues to remain a close military ally of both Iran and Russia, with no intention of disrupting these on-going partnerships.
Recently, the U.S. reported that there are hidden nuclear sites in Syria, contributing to an alleged secret nuclear program. It’s now a known fact that North Korea has been supplying nuclear components to Syria. Russia continues to supply Syria with advanced arms. Iran continues to send arms to Hezbollah in Lebanon through Syria.
Pray that there will be no deception in Israel as to the true intentions of Syrian President Bashar Assad. Pray that all evil intentions will be exposed. (1 Kings 20:22).
Pray that Israel will see the true nature of Russia, a country that is not only selling arms to Syria, but to Iran. Russia is attempting to gain leverage in the region by also making deals with Saudi Arabia, and forming a nuclear cooperation agreement with Egypt.
The problem is that Israel is dependent on Russia for most of its crude oil, and for at least $1 billion a year in trade. In addition, Israel has developed strong business ties with Russia in several sectors of society, including energy, industry, aviation and medicine.
Pray that the Lord will wean Israel from its dependence on Russia, and open the eyes of Israeli government officials to see Russia’s negative influence on the region, today, and in the future. (Read Ezekiel Chapters 38 and 39).
Iran: Despite continued UN sanctions, Iran is defying orders to stop its on-going nuclear program. Israel is convinced that Iran’s nuclear program is moving at a much faster rate than originally anticipated.
Kadima party member and Israeli General Shaul Mofaz, met in early spring with his U.S. counterparts in strategic cooperation meetings in Washington. He assessed that Iran could have a nuclear bomb by 2009.
There are some indications that Israel may be considering military action against Iran by the beginning of 2009, or before.
Some of the signs towards that projection follow:
(1) Israel conducted unprecedented country-wide emergency drills during homeland security operations in early spring 2008.
(2) Homeland security heads from the U.S., Europe, and Israel met, recently, to share intelligence information; to hear briefings on terrorism from Israeli defense officials; and to discuss forming closer partnerships.
(3) The Israeli government has indicated that they will be distributing gas masks to the public by January 2009.
(4) Israeli defense industry leaders have gotten permission from Israel’s leading rabbis to work on the Iron Dome anti-missile defense system on Shabbat. The system was expected to be completed in 2010, but Israel is requesting that it be completed much sooner.
(5) Knesset Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee chairman, Tzahi Hanebi, has called for a general election to take place as soon as possible, folllowed by the formation of a national unity government to deal with the strategic threats from Iran.
Recently, at a Jerusalem press conference during the homeland security meeting of western nations, I asked Israel’s Public Security Minister, Avi Dichter a question about the current terrorist threat against Israel. He spoke of Iran’s threat to Israel, not just through their nuclear program, but also through their terrorist network.
“Iran is behind terror activities against Israel and against other countries. Here in Israel, we are facing a history of terrorist attacks by Iran by proxy for many years. Islamic Jihad is under Iranian supervision, indirectly, by Hezbollah since 1994. Hamas is under Iran’s instructions since 2001. Al-Aqsa (Martyrs) Brigades are being paid -- it’s a pure business -- since the beginning of the Intifada. Strategically, Israel is not going to let into the Gaza Strip another entity of terror with military equipment to be built in the Gaza Strip. So, blocking the current flow of the rockets is the most urgent mission. Blocking the enhancement of smuggling from Sinai into Gaza is a very urgent mission, as well. Cracking down on the military capabilities of terrorists in the Gaza Strip is a long-range mission and it will probably take years.”
GREATER COOPERATION BETWEEN NATIONS
Israel and U.S. leaders are troubled by signs that the balance of power in the Middle East is tipping towards Islamic domination. If this trend continues, strong leadership in new elections in both countries is essential; leadership that does not look to appease rogue nations with nuclear capability; leadership that is willing to take firm action against such states, before the Middle East becomes a region of nuclear proliferation.
Israel, North America, and some European nations are already engaging in deeper strategic cooperation dialogue, sharing greater intelligence information. NATO is upgrading military ties between Israel and European nations. There has been talk about the forming of a league of democratic nations that would take stronger diplomatic and, possibly, military action against common enemies.
At the “Facing Tomorrow” President’s Conference that took place earlier this month in Jerusalem, Israel’s current ambassador to the United Nations, Dan Gillerman, expressed his disappointment with the UN Security Council. He indicated that it was impossible to get many important resolutions passed through the Council because of continued vetoes by the country of Libya. Gillerman and Republican presidential candidate John McCain have both talked, independently, about forming a league of nations to by-pass the UN.
A time is coming when free democratic nations may have to go to war against rogue states that have nuclear capability. If there is a movement in this direction, the populations of western democracies will have to come into alignment with the decisions of their government leaders. It will mean an end to foreign policies that call for appeasement with enemy states. It will also mean that Israeli-Palestinian and Israeli-Syrian peace negotiations will be put on hold.
Pray for leaders of nations to come into alignment with God’s Kingdom plans and purposes (Psalm 2).
Pray for Israel not to retreat but to advance, through repentance, courage, and confidence in the Lord, so that the land can receive the blessings of God. (Isaiah 26:15).
SITUATION ANALYSIS -- 241
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